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Migori Governor Ochilo Ayacko would secure a second term comfortably if voters went to the polls today, a fresh opinion survey has found, with the incumbent drawing support from more than half of those sampled.
The Mizani Africa poll, released on November 10, 2026, credited Ayacko with 50.3% ; the only candidate in the race to surpass the halfway mark among respondents.
Uriri MP Mark Nyamita finished second at 28.8%, leaving him 21.5 percentage points behind the governor.
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Suna West MP Peter Francis Masara came third with 12.3%, a gap of 16.5 points behind Nyamita.
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John Dache Pesa registered 2.6%, Dr Pamela Adhiambo 0.5%, and 5.5% of respondents remained undecided.
Mizani Africa drew its sample from the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission (IEBC)'s 2022 register of roughly 469,019 Migori County voters aged 18 and above.
The pollster targeted 1,600 respondents distributed proportionally across all eight constituencies. A total of 1,350 people completed the survey, representing a response rate of 84.4%.
